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Eric Evenson: Good evening everyone. Can everybody hear me OK? Great. Thanks. And I also appreciate you coming out on such a rainy, and windy, and cold night to hear about the Water Census. Just starting out with a little levity. Dan mentioned that I went to the University of Nebraska, and grew up in Nebraska. And of course in Nebraska you know our saying is, the N stands for knowledge. [Laughter] OK. I want to talk to you tonight about a program in the USGS that we call The National Water Census. And what is a Water Census? Well, first of all it's part of our strategic plan. In 2007 we completed a strategic plan that covers what you see on the right hand side of the screen there. And one of the major themes of that is a Water Census for the United States, quantifying, forecasting, and securing fresh water for our Nation’s future. Our objective as part of the Water Census is to place technical information and tools into the hands of stakeholders allowing them to answer two primary questions about water availability. Does the nation have enough fresh water to meet both human as well as ecological needs? And will the water be present to meet the future needs. And when we say stakeholders we think of that very broadly. Our stakeholders are the public. They are also the water management agencies who struggle with these questions from a regulatory of planning basis and the like. There are also the biological resources managers and stakeholders. And the non- governmental agencies organizations that care about these resources very deeply. Just to give you a definition on water availability analysis, what we're talking about there is the process of determining the quantity and timing characteristics of water, which is of sufficient quality to meet both human and ecological needs. That's kind of the core of the analysis that managers struggle with in determining do we have enough water? Is it of adequate quality? Is it there at the times that we needed in order to satisfy these needs. I also want to just emphasize that water availability analysis is part technical information, but it's also socioeconomic considerations, legal, regulatory, and even political considerations that have to be taken into account. And at USGS we deal with the technical information aspect of it. So, at USGS we don't make determinations of water availability, we help others make determinations of water availability and we do that through providing the technical information, the technical basis for those analysis. You'll hear me talk a little bit about an initiative called WaterSMART, and that's kind of a label for us and a brand. And so, what is WaterSMART? It's a Department of Interior budget initiative on water availability and conservation that is coordinated out of our Office of the Assistant Secretary for Water and Science. That's the Assistant Secretary that's over both the US Geological Survey and the Bureau of Reclamation. That individual is Anne Castle and within the USGS the main activity that's associated with the WaterSMART funding initiative is the National Water Census. Over the Bureau of Reclamation they actually have three major activities: associated with the first are river basin supply and demand studies that are designed to dovetail with what we're doing in the water census. A program called "Title 16" that provides funding for communities to do water reclamation and water reuse. Such things as building desalination facilities or advance treatment for waste water, so that it can be reused as a water supply. And then they also have their WaterSMART brands, which are conservation grants that are given out to entities to conduct water conservation activities. And they have brought goals associated with each of these. So, one question also that probably comes up is, 'how did we get to this point where we're talking about a national census of water in the country'. And for those of you who have been involved is this field for some time, you may remember back to the 1960s and 70s when there was an entity called the US Water Resources Council. And the USGS was a participating agency in the US Water Resources Council. The council used to put out the decadal analysis of water availability for the country. The last one of which was put out in 1978. The council was disbanded as an organization in 1980. And since that time there is not been a comprehensive national assessment of water availability in over 30 years. So, we feel that it is really high time that a program like the water census gets underway. In 2002 Congress asked us to produce a national framework so to speak, a national plan for how we would approach an assessment of water availability and use across the country. And we produced that and it's published in our circular 1223. In 2005 directly associated with the release of the recommendations in circular 1223 Congress funded a pilot study on water availability in the Great Lakes. And some of you might ask, hmm water availability in the Great Lakes, a place that's got about one fifth of available fresh water - flowing fresh water present there. The chairman of our appropriations committee who commissioned these studies was from the Great Lakes Basin. So, it seemed like a good place to do the pilot study. Then that study lasted for five years, and I will be talking about a number of the products that came out of the pilot study tonight. In 2007 our strategic plan of our agency came out with the Water Census as the one of the major six themes in the plan. In 2007 also a report came out of the office of science and technology policy -- their sub- committee on water availability and equality -- and it outlined the roles of all federal agencies on working on water availability and identify the activities in the USGS as promoting -in terms of promoting the need for a Water Census. Probably even a significant thing that has occurred in the last decade on getting us to where we're at now and the last year and the Water Census is the passage of the Secure Water Act. This happened in 2009. SECURE in this case is an acronym; it stands for Science and Engineering to Comprehensively Understand and Responsibly Enhance water. And the acronym is sometimes hard to remember. Also in 2009 the National Research Council released a report called “towards a sustainable and secure water future.” And that report also highlighted the need for a national water census. And then finally in 2011, the President included in his budget request to Congress the WaterSMART initiative to jumpstart activities both in the USGS as well as the Bureau of Reclamation. So, how do we go about accounting for water availability from a technical perspective? Well, we use something called the 'water budget'. And the water budget is really very similar to the budget that you all for your finances at home. It accounts for all the inputs and the outputs from a given watershed just the same as your family budget accounts for all the inputs and all the deposits and withdrawals from your account. And it looks at how much is in storage or how much reserve you might have in your accounts. And the types of factors that influence it. So, just to highlight a couple of those aspects, the green arrows represents exchanges with the atmosphere, precipitation coming into the watershed, evapotranspiration going out, the amount of water that's evaporated or transpired by plants and trees. The blue arrows represent exchanges of water within the watershed or between the surficial system in the ground water. So, it includes fresh water inflow and outflow, ground water surface water interaction, exchanges between deep ground water systems and shallow, and the flow through the ground water system. And finally the gray arrows represent man's influence on water availability -- are withdrawals from ground water and surface water, and are return of some of that water back to the land surface through such things as waste water return flows, agricultural return flows, or irrigation. So, our effort in the Water Census is to start quantifying each one of these exchanges. We can write simple or complex equations that represent each one of these exchanges in the environment. And we can look at those interactions either on very large scales or very small scales. Or over long time periods or short time periods. In our effort in the Water Census is going to be to look at that on relatively small scales and short time periods and aggregate that information up. So, let's look at that a little bit. First of all we want to deliver a nationwide system that allows users to access all of this information about water supply. And when I say the supply cited the equation, I mean all the things that bring the water or affect water on the natural landscape – precipitation, evapotranspiration, storage, reservoirs, lakes, ice in snowfield, surface water flows, ground water flows -- including things like recharge rates -- and changes in water levels of aqua forms. And we also want to look at all the factors on what we call the demand side of the equation. How is water used and one certainly very important aspect among those are the ecological water needs. How much water do we need to lead in the environment to maintain a healthy ecosystem. As well as what are the human uses of water? The withdrawals, the return flows, how do we consumptively use water, and what are our run of the river uses? So, let's talk a little bit about how we go about delivering that information. Well, today you can download this map of our USGS Website. If you go to our Water Watch homepage that's listed right here at the bottom. You can download the map, and the data behind this map that gives you estimated monthly runoff for every “HUC 8,” (and I’ll explain to you what that is in just a second) For every watershed at the HUC 8 level, throughout the entire lower 48 states – - and in not too long a time we'll be able to include Hawaii, Alaska, and the Caribbean Islands in this as well. [Editor’s note: HUC stands for “Hydrologic Unite Code” http://water.usgs.gov/GIS/huc.html ] But today you can download this map and it gives you estimated runoff for every one of those watersheds throughout the country. And you could not only download that for this month, you can download it historically for every month back to 1900. Let's say, that if you're working on water management issues and you really need water estimates at a finer scale, and monthly information isn't good enough for you, you need daily information. You might want to have this in hand. And that's part of what we're going to do under the Water Census. So, let's envision that under the Water Census you were able to download data on precipitation, runoff, base flow, evapotranspiration, recharge, changes in surface water storage, down to a watershed equivalent to 35 square miles every 35 square mile watershed across the country. And not only on a monthly basis, but daily information on this of all these factors that influence the water budget. That's one of the goals that we're shooting for under the Water Census. Now, we'll be talking about the activities that we have underway to get there. As well, you want to be able to work with this information, so we will be designing and building a Website interface on similar to the web interface that we use in our stream stats program. Some of you may be familiar with that program where you would be able to select an area on the screen, point and click. Have the system delineate the watershed above that point. And then generate all the information about the water accounting components and deliver that information to the Website for you. Then you'd be able to work with online tools to construct your own water budget of that area. And maybe even change some of the parameters to see what kind of influence that would have. And then also, access information about trends in those water availability parameters going back 30 years. That's the system that we're designing. Now we have to do various things in order to accomplish these because even though we run approximately 7700 stream gauges across the country, that by no means gives us estimates of flow down to the scales that we're talking about. So, one of the things that we're doing as part of this program is developing the means of estimating flows at un- gauged stations across the country. So, that any place on the landscape you'd be able to point and click, and get estimate of the flow, not just flow characteristics or flow statistics, but actual daily flow values for that piece of the landscape. We're also working on similar efforts for evapotranspiration. And as I mentioned evapotranspiration is the amount of water that evaporates off the landscape, or is transpired by plants. And those of you familiar with that I'm sure you know that in many places throughout the world, evapotranspiration accounts to more than 50% of the rainfall. So if you think about that: rainfall is our source of water, it's our source of fresh water in this country and throughout the world. And about 50% of that or more in most places in the world evaporates off or is transpired by plants into the atmosphere. So, this is a very important aspect of the water budget to be able to quantify. We're working in two efforts on evapotranspiration. One is to just look at as a broad landscape feature, how much water is evaporated off the landscape for an entire watershed. But then another aspect of evapotranspiration is we enhance how much water evaporates, where we irrigate agriculture. We're bringing water in, we're importing it to an area, we're using it to say, irrigate crops and grow crops off in an areas that are arid where the ET rates are relatively high. And those plants are transpiring water off that. We also need to get an estimate of the amount of ET that's associated with irrigated cropland because it's an important part of the water budget and it's also an important measure of the consumptive use associated with the irrigated agriculture. Another activity that we need to do, to be able to deliver this information is we really need to enhance our understanding throughout the nation of water use. And here I'm talking about human water usage. How much water do we withdraw, transport, consume, and return to the environment. And we're going to be using new methods for estimating water use across the country. More use of statistical models like regression models, you're going to be developing models of how we can relate water use, human water use to land use characteristics. And ultimately what we want to be able to do is we want to develop the ability to track the drop of water that humans use from the point where it's withdrawn, until it's ultimately returned to the environment. So, what are some of the things we need to do in order to do this? Well, first I want to just introduce this concept of what we call ‘conveyance’ and water use tracking. And envision that this is a simplistic watershed view here. And some place within the watershed we pump water out of the ground and we use it to integrate cropland, OK? Now, because we're irrigating that cropland we're enhancing the amount of consumptive use. So, that's going to reduce ground water or surface water resources as a result of that activity. We need to be able to quantify that. In other places we may establish a community water system and pump that water up to a piece of landscape where there's a residential development. And let's say it's residential development that's on an un-sewered land where they're using septic systems. And that residential piece of land overlaps a drainage basin. So, some of that water ultimately gets to return back through septic system flow, but the part that's out of the basin is now a out of basin withdraw to the flow at that gauging station. And then we also have the circumstances where we pump water to sewered land and the waste water after it's treated in discharge wholly without outside of the basin, and that's a complete deplete of withdrawal to this basin. So, our water use program in the country has to be able to characterize all these kinds of conditions and account for the human infrastructure from moving water around. This can get to be very complex because in this schematic diagram a water supply system, you may have a surface water source and multiple sets of well field in various parts of the system, that ultimately distribute water to the population where they use it. And then the wastewater will be collected and discharged in another location. So, this is the whole idea of being able to track water through the human infrastructure. As I mentioned this can get to be very complex. And this diagram that's done in the hydrologic unit code six-digit basin for the upper Colorado demonstrates just how complex that can become. Now, just to orient you over on the right hand side here would be Rocky Mountain National Park in the continental divide, OK. So, the city of Denver is right of over here. And then this watershed stretches over to about Grand Junction, Colorado, so we have all the landscape in between. And the dots that you see in the map are the 12,500 irrigation diversions that occur within the Colorado River Basin. Some of those are carrying water outside of the basin to satisfy irrigation needs. And just zooming in a little bit on the Vail, Colorado area you can see the number of diversions and the complexity that occurs with this. And as I mentioned, these are just the irrigation diversions, it doesn't include water use for other types of needs. So, what kinds of water use needs do we include in our analysis? Well, this bar chart shows the magnitude of freshwater and salt-water withdrawals for various human uses across the country. And they're in ranked order. 49 percent of all the withdrawals in this country are used for thermal electric power generation. That's a lot of times surprising to people, but extremely large volumes of water have to be withdrawn for thermal electric power generation. Now once through cooling facilities much of that water -the vast majority of it is returned back to the stream unevaporated - but in the case of facilities have a cooling tower and the like, much of the water that's withdrawn will be evaporated. It depends largely on the technology that they used. 31 percent of all the water that's withdrawn in the country is used for irrigation. And irrigation is the 800- pound gorilla when it comes to consumptive use because the vast majority of that water is either evaporated or transpired by plants. So, these two categories alone account for 80 percent of all the water use in the United States. 11 percent is used for public supply, so this is the water that we used in our homes, plus the water that's withdrawn and delivered to industries and commercial establishments within the service area those public community systems supply. And then self-supplied industrial water accounts for an additional 4 percent. So, 95 percent of all the water that's withdrawn in the country are from those four categories. Then we have four small categories including self- supplied domestic, that's -everybody who has their own individual domestic well. Livestock which is less than 1 percent, mining which is about 1 percent, and aqua culture which is 2 percent. Let me just go back briefly, we've been accumulating information on water use at the USGS for a very long time, since 1950. And every five years we put out a report called ‘Compilation of Water Use in the United States.’ And just want to give you a quotation from the National Research Council report on the significance that they see in this data that we produce. And this is a direct quote. "This “reports estimated water use in the United States, have been published every five years since the 1950s and are one of the most widely cited publications of the USGS." So, it's a very significant activity and effort that we have and one that we need to even do a better job on if we are going to deliver a good Water Census. Part of what we do with these data is we are able to look at trends in the country. And I think this is a very interesting chart -- kind of surprising to a lot of people to know that this line is our population growth since 1950 through 2005. And of course population is along over here on the right axis. On the left axis are hundreds of billions of gallons of withdrawal. And you'll notice that was rising very rapidly until about 1980. And then it dropped and leveled off during that time. So, actually over this entire period our per capita use of water has actually decreased since 1980. And this is due to a variety of factors including regulatory programs that were put in place, water conservation activities, industry cutting back on the amount of water that they use so that they produce less waste water that would have to be treated and the like. I want to go on to another type of water use -a very important type of water use that people often don't think about. It's become much more present in our thoughts in the last two decades, but prior to that got little play and a little accounting in our water availability analysis. And that was the water needs for wildlife and habitat. We refer to this as ‘ecological water science’ or ‘ecological flow science.’ And it's a rapidly developing research area throughout the world and one that were very interested here at the USGS. Some of the things that we want to be able to provide to the country are classification system so that we can classify our water bodies as to their hydro ecological type. What type of aquatic environment do our rivers support? We also want to produce tools and data that allow managers to systematically assess ecological effects of change in the hydrology. When they alter it, what happens? Do we still have the same species there that we did before? How does that change? And we want to assist users in developing water alteration flow alteration ecological response relationships, which are kind of the building blocks that people use for ultimately setting ecological flow objectives. And again we at USGS don't set those flow objectives, but states are very active and interested in this process today. Along with non- governmental organizations, like the Nature Conservancy. OK. Other things that we have to do in the Water Census, we need to expand our activities in assessing groundwater swell in water availability. What we do throughout the country is we are systematically analyzing what we refer to as principle aquifers. These shaded areas on this colored map represent the 63 principal aquifers that account for the vast majority of ground water usage throughout the country. And actually the top 30 of those, the 30 principle aquifers if ranked in water-use order account for 94% of all the groundwater that's used in the United States. So, understanding what happens in these three-dimensional systems is an extremely important part of the Water Census and how that water is moved to the surface, how it's used, and how it's disposed off. So, we need to know things such as recharge values, groundwater yields, changes in storage, trends in groundwater indices and groundwater and surface water interactions to name a few. And we will do that through strengthening the USGS programs for studying groundwater availability. Another issue that we're called to do as part of the Secure Water Act is, Congress told us “we would like to know about the Nation's brackish groundwater resources.” So, those are all the areas of groundwater throughout the United States that are too salty to use directly either for public supply, or in many cases even for irrigation or livestock purposes. And they're quite widely distributed throughout the country. Most times these resources are deep and the color coding is showing you the depth to saline water in these various areas. They tend to be areas that we don't know a lot about from a water supply perspective. Most of the people would drill into these are looking for energy supplies. They're looking for oil or they're looking for natural gas and that's where a lot of the data on this has historically come from. So, Congress has asked us, we want to know the locations of the resource, the hydrologic and water quality properties, and currently who's using them. And there are communities they're using saline groundwater and treating it for their water supply. But of course that tends to be a very expensive proposition. We also of course want to know the issue about quality, what is water quality's role in water availability? How does water quality impairment limit our access to water? And it doesn't have to be so bad that you can't use the water, it just has to be bad enough to make it more expensive. And all of a sudden your influencing decisions that people make about water availability due to water quality. So, we want to use the strength of the USGS water quality programs to determine the degree to which water quality impairs water availability. Define the main compounds that are important to analyze, relate water use, relate water quality to water use in return flows and look at the trends. The last aspect I'm going to talk about tonight relative to the Water Census is we've developed a notion of conducting focused water availability assessments in smaller watersheds rather than tackling the entire Nation at once so that we can learn certain things about how to relate some of this information and integrate it together to give us a comprehensive picture of water availability. And so, in basins like the Colorado River Basin, we've been working with state, local, and regional stakeholders to define a set of technical questions that are important to understand about these watersheds in order to better understand water availability. And then we bring the various programs that the USGS to bare on answering those questions and developing a comprehensive picture. We have three basins that we're concentrating on right now. The Apalachicola Chattahoochee Flint River Basins in the southeast. It's the last time I'll say it in long hand, it's the ACF Basin for short. For those of you who don't know where that is, that's in the Atlanta area and south out there. The Colorado River Basin, and the Delaware in the northeast. And there are some important aspects of these basins of why they were selected and what about water availability stresses makes these basins good areas to study. In the Delaware, even though the Delaware River Basin represents .4% of the land area of the country, it delivers water to 15 million people, 5% of the U.S. population. And a lot of that is because of water basin withdrawals. It has had two supreme court decrees dividing up the water amongst the various parties that use it. It has abundant endangered aquatic species that are at risk within the basin and you may have read recently with the development of the Marcellus Natural Gas Shale play. There are looming issues with regard to natural gas development in the upper basin. In the ACF there has been. I'm sure you remember the Georgia Florida Alabama water wars, the competition over the resource in particular, a tug of war between public supply and agriculture in the Basin. Much state litigation that's still going on today. In the Colorado, it's got a very fast growing population within the basin. Lots of energy development. It's the backbone of hydropower for the southwest and we've had declining river flows over the last 15 years. So, that is kind of my overview of the Water Census and our plans. I want to give you a little picture of the work that we did in the Great Lakes. And then we'll open it up for questions. So, we conducted this pilot study within the Great Lakes basin, and that's an aerial photograph of the basin, of course. All of the products that you're going to see are available through our Website: water.usgs.gov/wateravailability/greatlakes. This study and all of our studies we feel that it is our obligation both to look at the national emphasis associated with it. But also provide the regional focus of what kind of information can we deliver that's relevant and usable to regional and local managers. And biological resource managers. We developed methods that were applicable to the national level, but we responded to Great Lakes issues and some of you may know that there's a Great Lakes Compact that has, as one of its focuses, water availability. So, a couple of the products that came out of that. Well, one thing was that stakeholders within the basin wanted to get a much greater current and more accurate definition of regional recharge within the basin. Because much of the water that's used within this basin does not come from the lakes themselves, it comes from ground water resources or small streams on the landscape where the water is being delivered. So, understanding how recharge varies across the landscape was a very important factor. Another one with regard to groundwater, are how are the groundwater divides within the basin shifting over time as a result of pumpage. Now just to orient you on this, of course here's the Chicago area. This line here, this dotted line comes very close into the lake and then back out. That's the surface water divide for the basin. The historical groundwater divides were a little bit further out. So, water, groundwater on this side was flowing towards the lakes. But as a result of a lot of the pumpage within the Great Lakes basin we've been pulling those groundwater divides further to the west. And with that, we change the flow regime to the lakes. It was important for us to document that, and that has become part of the regulatory considerations that the Great Lakes Basin uses. You may have read about some of the interstate lawsuits that were happening over the Waukesha area. Another issue in the Great Lakes is just how had the natural trends manifest themselves over the last 50 years. And interestingly the gold circles are streamgages where base flow has been increasing over the last 50 years. And you'll notice that the vast majority of the places depicted on this map stream flows is actually increasing over time. Well, that can be associated with the climate signal. A climate signal in which more water is evaporating off the lakes and falling as precipitation on the landscape. And this is the issue that we're looking at very carefully. Stream flows have been showing distinct increase over that 50-year time in most parts of the basin. Another issue that's been very present is lake-level variability. Some of you may have read that within the last decade, water levels in Lake Superior have fallen so low that oar boats carrying or through Sue Saint Marie Canal have to go through partially loaded. Because there's not enough draft, not enough hydrologic stage to get those barges through fully loaded. Likewise, lake-levels have been dropping in the Lake Michigan and Lake Heron system. So, the stakeholders within the basin said: 'we'd like to see how lake-level variability within the last measured record', and that's this little part right over here that's the last 150 years ‘relates to the long term paleo record.’ So, we put together a 5,000-year history of lake-level variability in the Great Lakes Basin. And you can see that actually in current time, we're pushing the bottom of the limit in terms of where lake- level variability has been since just post the last Ice Age. Another issue in the Great Lakes that's very important to them, they manage based upon consumptive use in the basin. And if you are going to develop a new project in the Great Lakes that has more than 5 million gallons per day of consumptive use, your project has to be elevated to all eight Governors and two provincial Governors in Canada for review before that project can be approved. So, a very important issue was, what are appropriate consumptive use co-efficients to be use in the basin? How do theirs compare with climatically similar areas throughout the country? And how does consumptive use vary on a seasonal and monthly basis? And so this was part of the products that we developed in the Great Lakes. And then of course we put together an overall water budget for the entire system. And just a couple of highlights that come out of that, of course we assess groundwater as resource, and groundwater within the Great Lake system is on the magnitude of adding an entire another Great Lake. And of course it's in the tens of trillions of gallons flowing in the system. The annual outflow of the Great Lakes is 1% of the storage. So, the amount of water that's going out through the same Saint Lawrence seaway represents about 1% of all the water that is stored in the system. Water-use throughout all the Great Lakes amounts to about 65,000 cubic feet per second, a relatively small amount of that annual outflow. And the consumptive use is about 3,000 cubic feet per second. Now that just puts it in perspective in terms of an entire watershed the size of the Great Lakes. Does that mean that water use and consumptive use are not important? Absolutely not. Because we not only as water managers need to look at the entire system, but how that plays out within our local watersheds. So, this is just giving you an overall picture. As I mentioned our reports through the Great Lakes study are available on this Website. This represents the approximately 15 technical products that were produced as part of the Great Lake study over the five-year period. And I invite you and urge you to go and take a look at the Great lakes Website and the work that we've done there. And I just want to conclude by saying, again our objective as part of the Water Census is to place technical information and tools into the hands of our stakeholders, stakeholders defined broadly, so that they can answer the questions that they're facing about water availability. Again, my name is Eric Evenson, I'm the Water Census coordinator. I am located in beautiful Trenton, New Jersey about three hours north of here. And there is my phone number and my Email address. And I'd be happy to answer any questions that you have. Thank you. |
DetailsTitle: Water in the 21st Century: The National Water Census Description: Eric Evenson, coordinator of the National Water Census discuses a new set of water resource challenges brought on by the 21st century. Even in normal water years, water shortages and use conflicts have become commonplace in many areas of the United States — especially competition among crop irrigation, growing cities and communities, and energy production. Over the next 10 years, the USGS plans to conduct a new assessment of water availability and use. This national Water Census will address critical aspects of recent Federal legislation, including the need to establish a national water assessment program. Location: Reston, VA, USA Date Taken: 12/1/2011 Length: 43:23 Video Producer: Melanie K. Gade , U.S. Geological Survey Note: This video has been released into the public domain by the U.S. Geological Survey for use in its entirety. Some videos may contain pieces of copyrighted material. If you wish to use a portion of the video for any purpose, other than for resharing/reposting the video in its entirety, please contact the Video Producer/Videographer listed with this video. Please refer to the USGS Copyright section for how to credit this video. Source: For more information go to: Public Lecture Series: Science in Action File Details: Suggest an update to the information/tags? Tags: |
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